“Most folks assumed Putin was playing a long, patient game here: Grind down the Ukrainians. The worry is that the Wagner rebellion made Putin look so weak that he will feel compelled to look strong. A loss of Russian barrels would likely spike gasoline prices just as inflation has cooled.
Russia is one of the planet’s leading oil producers and exporters. Bush who is now the president of consulting firm Rapidan Energy Group.Īn actual disruption to Russia’s oil flows would be a game-changer for the oil market, and perhaps the world economy. “We think the risk of an interruption in Russian supply is rising - even though the market is very sanguine,” said Bob McNally, a former senior energy official to President George W. Are investors too complacent about the situation in Russia, even as new details emerge about the extent of the uprising? US oil prices retreated to around $68.50 a barrel on Wednesday, down from $69.51 a barrel on Thursday before Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin launched his rebellion.īut some oil market veterans wonder if the pendulum has now swung too far in the other direction. Nobody is willing to price in disruption - until it occurs,” said Croft. “Now it’s a show-me market as opposed to a tell-me market. Oil prices skyrocketed to the highest levels since 2008, only to crash when those threats failed to materialize. The shift in focus away from Russia is a 180 from last year, when investors arguably overreacted to the mere threat of disruptions to Russian oil from the war in Ukraine and Western sanctions.
“This is a market that fears Powell more than Putin,” Helima Croft, a former CIA analyst who now heads commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, told CNN in a phone interview. Oil flows from Russia won’t be derailed and the test to Vladimir Putin’s grip on power won’t overshadow investors’ more immediate worry in the US: The economic fallout from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve’s war on inflation. The message from the oil market is that the crisis is over. Oil prices are, incredibly, lower today than they were before the short-lived uprising in Russia - one of the world’s most important players in the oil market. The oil market reacted with a collective yawn. Sweeping all major awards in the Philippines, it was also a finalist at the International Documentary Festival in Amsterdam and the New York Festival.The Wagner rebellion in Russia shocked the world. To date, it has been the highest rated independent documentary broadcast on Philippine Television. Kara also produced the critically acclaimed documentary Batas Militar (1997). It was awarded the 2020 Excellence in Documentary Award by the NLGJA Association of LGBTQ Journalists. The film was broadcast on POV reaching millions of viewers of the Public Broadcast Service (PBS). It earned over a dozen Grand Jury Best Documentary and Audience Choice Awards including a nomination from the GLAAD Media Award. She produced Call Her Ganda (2018) as well, which premiered at the Tribeca Film Festival and Hot Docs Canadian International Documentary Festival. It will broadcast on POV on the PBS (Public Broadcast Service) in September 2022.
The film won the Sustainable Future Award at the 2022 Sydney Film Festival, the Special Jury Prize - Best Documentary Feature at the 2022 Los Angeles Asian Pacific Film Festival, the Special Jury Mention - Best International Feature at New Zealand’s 2022 Doc Edge, and was nominated for the Tim Hetherington Award at the 2022 Sheffield International Documentary Film Festival. Kara produced the documentary Delikado (2022) that had its world premiere at the Hot Docs Canadian International Documentary Festival in Toronto. She has also reported for the Public Broadcasting Service, Voice of America, and ABS-CBN. She has produced documentaries for the History Channel, ARD German Television, the Australian Broadcasting Company, Philippine Center for Investigative Journalism, and the Probe Team. She is also a Member of the Global Impact Producers Transitional Advisory Committee, the Board of Trustees of QCinema, and Doc Society’s Good Pitch Southeast Asian team, Indonesia. She has been Jury at the Emmy Awards’ News and Documentary category since 2020.
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She is a Co-Founder of Storytellers International Inc, a contributing Producer to CNN International, ARD German TV and ARD German Radio, and the Founding President of FilDocs or the Filipino Documentary Society. Kara Magsanoc-Alikpala is a Broadcast Journalist, Documentary Filmmaker, Impact Producer and Cancer Patient Advocate.
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